What Is CFD Trading? How It Works, Costs and Risks
A CFD is a cash-settled contract on an asset's price change, without owning it. How CFDs work, what they cost and why leverage adds risk.
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A contract for difference (CFD) is a cash-settled agreement between you and a broker to exchange the difference in an asset's price from the moment you open a position to the moment you close it. You never own the underlying asset—no shares are transferred, no barrels of oil change hands. Your profit or loss equals the price movement multiplied by your position size. Because CFDs use leverage, a relatively small adverse price move can erase all of your margin deposit, and in some circumstances losses can exceed it. If that sounds like a lot to unpack, this guide walks through every layer—mechanics, costs, risks, regulation, and how to practise without risking real money first.
What a CFD Actually Is
Think of a CFD as a price bet formalised as a contract. You and the broker agree on an entry price. When you close the position, whoever is on the right side of the price movement pays the other the difference. If you believed the price would rise (a long position) and it did, you collect the difference. If you were wrong, you pay it.
Three things set CFDs apart from buying an asset outright:
- No ownership. You hold a contract, not the asset. A CFD on Apple shares gives you no right to dividends, no voting rights, and no claim on Apple's assets.
- Cash settlement. Everything is settled in cash. There is no delivery, no custody, no broker holding securities on your behalf in the traditional sense.
- Bidirectional. You can go short (speculate on a price fall) just as easily as going long. Short-selling traditional shares involves borrowing stock and regulatory complexity; a short CFD is placed in the same way as a long one.

How the Mechanism Works, Step by Step
- Choose a direction. You decide whether you expect the price to rise (buy/long) or fall (sell/short).
- Open at the ask or bid price. The broker quotes two prices: the bid (what you sell at) and the ask (what you buy at). The gap between them is the spread—the first and immediate cost of every trade.
- The market moves. While your position is open, your unrealised profit or loss updates in real time as the price changes.
- Close the position. You close by placing the opposite trade. If you opened long, you close by selling. The broker calculates the difference between your entry price and exit price, multiplied by your position size, and credits or debits your account.
The broker acts as your counterparty or routes your order through liquidity providers, depending on their model. Either way, you are not interacting with another individual trader directly.
The Worked Example: Numbers, Not Theory
The figures below are illustrative only and do not represent any guaranteed, typical, or actual outcome. Actual spreads, financing rates, and leverage limits vary by instrument, account type, and the regulatory entity governing your account. Verify current figures at puprime.com/spread-and-costs before trading.
Scenario: You open a CFD on a stock index priced at 5,000 points. You trade 1 contract equivalent to 1 USD per point movement, using 1:10 leverage. Your margin requirement is 10% of the notional value, so you post 500 USD.
| Parameter | Loss scenario | Gain scenario |
|---|---|---|
| Asset | Stock index | Stock index |
| Entry price | 5,000 | 5,000 |
| Position size | 1 USD per point | 1 USD per point |
| Notional value | 5,000 USD | 5,000 USD |
| Leverage | 1:10 | 1:10 |
| Margin posted | 500 USD | 500 USD |
| Closing price | 4,900 | 5,100 |
| Price move | −100 points (−2%) | +100 points (+2%) |
| Gross P&L | −100 USD | +100 USD |
| Spread cost (illustrative) | −2 USD | −2 USD |
| Overnight fee (illustrative: 1 night) | −1.50 USD | −1.50 USD |
| Net P&L | −103.50 USD | +96.50 USD |
Two observations from this table that beginners routinely miss:
First, a 2% move against you wiped out roughly 20% of your 500 USD margin—because leverage magnified your exposure tenfold. Second, the gain scenario produced a net result below the gross gain once costs were included. A trade that moved in your favour still returned less than the raw price movement suggested. Both effects compound when positions are held for multiple days.
Spread and overnight financing figures in this table are for illustration only. The actual values that apply to your account type are published—and updated—at puprime.com/spread-and-costs. The platform (MT4, MT5, or the PU Prime app) displays the live figures that take precedence over all reference tables.
Leverage and Margin: The Amplifier That Works Both Ways
Leverage lets you control a larger position than your deposited capital would otherwise allow. At 1:10 leverage, 1,000 USD in margin controls a 10,000 USD position.
The arithmetic of loss is simple and worth reading carefully: if the position moves 10% against you, the 1,000 USD loss equals 100% of your margin. The position is gone. That is not a worst-case scenario—it is basic arithmetic applied to a 1:10 leverage ratio.
The margin call sequence:
- Your account equity falls toward the broker's margin call level (the exact threshold varies by broker, account type, and regulated entity—check your specific terms).
- The broker issues a margin call: a notification that you must deposit additional funds or close positions to restore your equity above the required level.
- If you do not act quickly enough, the broker initiates forced partial liquidation—closing your losing positions automatically to prevent your balance from going further into deficit.
- Under rapid or gapping market moves, forced liquidation may not prevent your balance from going negative.
Negative balance protection (NBP) is the regulatory safeguard that prevents your account from falling below zero. Where NBP is mandated for retail clients, your maximum loss is capped at your deposited funds. This protection is not universal—it applies only to the specific regulated entity your account is held under, and the conditions vary by regulator and jurisdiction. Verify whether NBP applies to your specific PU Prime entity at puprime.com/regulation before depositing.
Leverage limits also differ by regulated entity, instrument type, and whether you are classified as a retail or professional client. No single leverage cap applies across all PU Prime entities. The limits applicable to your account are stated in the account terms for your jurisdiction and on the regulation page. Do not assume that a leverage level you have seen advertised applies to your specific entity.
Important: Leverage limits and negative balance protection requirements differ by entity and jurisdiction. Read the terms that apply to your specific account at puprime.com/regulation before depositing.
Every Cost You Will Actually Pay
Three cost layers affect every CFD trade. Most beginner guides present these as separate footnotes. They are not—they are cumulative drag on any open position.
Layer 1: The bid-ask spread Every time you open a trade, you start in a small loss equal to the spread. On a Forex pair quoted at 1.3 pips, you need the market to move at least 1.3 pips in your favour before you break even. The spread is effectively paid on entry, since it is embedded in the opening price.
Layer 2: Commission (account-type dependent) PU Prime offers three main live account tiers—Standard, Prime, and ECN—with different cost structures. The Standard account uses a spread-only model with no separate commission charge. The Prime and ECN accounts apply a per-lot commission alongside tighter raw spreads. Which model is less expensive depends on your trading frequency and typical position size. Current spread and commission figures are published at puprime.com/spread-and-costs; all values there are stated as reference figures and the platform shows the most accurate live values.
Layer 3: Overnight financing (swap) If you hold a CFD position open past the daily rollover time (typically 17:00 New York), you pay or receive an overnight financing charge. The rate is based on the interbank rate for the relevant currency or instrument, adjusted by the broker's margin. For most retail traders holding long positions on most instruments, this is a cost rather than a credit.
The compounding effect of overnight fees is routinely underestimated. The table below illustrates how a financing charge accumulates over time using a hypothetical annualised rate—it is not sourced from PU Prime's current rate schedule and is provided only to show the mathematical structure. Actual instrument-specific rates must be verified at puprime.com/spread-and-costs before opening any overnight position:
| Cost type | How it arises | 1-day hold | 7-day hold | 30-day hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (illustrative) | Paid on entry | ~1.30 USD | ~1.30 USD | ~1.30 USD |
| Commission (Standard account) | None | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Overnight financing (illustrative: ~5% p.a. on 10,000 USD notional) | Per night held past rollover | ~1.37 USD | ~9.59 USD | ~41.10 USD |
| Total illustrative drag | ~2.67 USD | ~10.89 USD | ~42.40 USD |
The illustrative structure shows that financing costs which appear trivial on a single night become significant over 30 nights. If a position is only a modest winner on price direction, accumulated financing can convert a gross gain into a net loss. This is not a theoretical edge case—it is the reason experienced traders either close positions before rollover or factor financing explicitly into their profit targets before entry.
All figures above are illustrative only. The annualised rate of 5% p.a. is a hypothetical placeholder. Source the actual rate for your instrument and account type from puprime.com/spread-and-costs before opening any position you plan to hold overnight.
What Assets You Can Trade
CFDs are available across multiple asset classes. The specific instruments available to you depend on the PU Prime entity your account is registered under and your jurisdiction.
- Forex pairs: Major, minor, and exotic currency pairs. The largest and most liquid market. Typical spreads are tightest here.
- Stock indices: Exposure to market benchmarks like the S&P 500 or Nikkei 225 as a single instrument, rather than buying each constituent share.
- Commodities: Hard commodities (crude oil, copper) and soft commodities (sugar). Prices are sensitive to geopolitical events and supply data.
- Metals: Gold and silver without taking physical delivery. PU Prime also lists 24/7 gold trading (XAUUSD247) as available beyond standard market hours, per puprime.com/spread-and-costs.
- Shares: CFDs on individual equities, including large-cap names, with leverage. You receive no shareholder rights.
- ETFs and bonds: Access to fund-structure and fixed-income exposure via CFD.
- Synthetic indices: Also listed among PU Prime's available instruments.
Asset availability and current instrument details are listed at puprime.com/spread-and-costs. Not all instruments are available in all jurisdictions, and availability may change.
CFDs Versus Buying Shares Outright
| Feature | CFD | Direct share purchase |
|---|---|---|
| Asset ownership | None—you hold a contract | You own the shares |
| Dividends | Cash adjustment credited/debited (no ownership rights) | Received as shareholder |
| Voting rights | None | Yes |
| Leverage available | Yes—amplifies gains and losses | Generally no (or limited margin borrowing) |
| Short-selling | Straightforward—open a sell position | Complex—requires borrowing shares |
| Typical cost structure | Spread, possible commission, overnight financing | Brokerage commission, custody fee |
| Market hours access | Often extended or near-24/5 | Exchange hours only |
| Tax treatment | Jurisdiction-specific—seek professional advice | Jurisdiction-specific—seek professional advice |
Neither instrument is inherently superior. CFDs suit traders who want leverage, short exposure, or extended hours access and can accept the associated costs and risks. Direct share purchase suits investors with a longer time horizon who want ownership rights and no overnight financing drag.
Tax treatment for CFD gains and losses varies significantly by jurisdiction. Some countries treat derivative gains as capital gains; others treat them as income; some apply specific rules for leveraged products. No general answer applies universally. Seek guidance from a qualified tax professional in your country before trading.
Who CFD Trading Is Not Suitable For
Before any account action, read this section honestly.
CFD trading is not suitable if any of the following apply:
- You have no emergency fund. Money used for CFD trading must be capital you can afford to lose entirely. If losing it would affect your rent, bills, or savings, do not trade with it.
- You are trading with borrowed money. Using a credit card advance, a loan, or borrowed funds to trade CFDs creates a compounding debt risk that most retail traders cannot manage.
- You cannot monitor open positions regularly. Leveraged positions can move against you quickly. If your schedule or internet access prevents monitoring, forced liquidation can occur before you can act.
- You have low structural tolerance for financial loss or volatility. If a significant drawdown on your demo account caused impulsive decisions, a live account will be harder, not easier.
- You are in a jurisdiction where CFDs are restricted or banned. CFDs are not available to retail traders in the United States under current CFTC and SEC rules. They are also restricted for retail clients in Belgium. Check your local regulatory status before proceeding.
- You are entirely new to financial markets with no educational foundation. CFDs are not where market education begins—they are where it is applied under financial pressure.
The proportion of retail CFD accounts that lose money is material and is consistently disclosed by regulated brokers. The specific figure applicable to PU Prime's regulated entities is available in their official risk documentation. Review the current figure at puprime.com/regulation before opening any account. Treat this statistic as direct calibration for the difficulty level you are entering.
Regulation: What It Means for Your Money
Regulation is not a marketing badge—it is a set of specific obligations that affect what happens to your money and what recourse you have if something goes wrong.
PU Prime states that it is a regulated broker operating since 2015, with authorisation under multiple financial authorities. Its regulation page at puprime.com/regulation confirms general commitments to client fund protection, transparent operational standards, audited compliance processes, and segregated client accounts.
The page lists the specific regulated entities and licensing authorities. Because entity names, licence numbers, and jurisdictional coverage can change, and because the evidence available at the time of writing does not include each entity's full current licence data, this article does not reproduce the entity table. Verify directly instead:
How to verify independently: Go to puprime.com/regulation, note the exact entity name and licence number that applies to your jurisdiction, then search that licence number on the regulator's own public register. Each financial regulator—including the FSA (Seychelles), FSC (Mauritius), FSCA (South Africa), and CMA (Kenya)—maintains a searchable public register. A licence number visible on the broker's website confirms nothing until you have matched it against the regulator's own record.
What regulation means in practice:
- Segregated client funds: Your trading capital is held separately from the broker's operating funds. If the broker faces financial difficulties, client funds are not mixed with company assets. PU Prime confirms this arrangement on its regulation page.
- Negative balance protection: Where mandated for retail clients, your losses cannot exceed your deposit. Not all entities or jurisdictions require this—verify which applies to your specific account before depositing.
- Leverage limits: Regulated entities apply maximum leverage caps for retail clients. These limits differ by regulator and instrument type. The limits applicable to your account are stated in the account terms and on the regulation page—there is no single figure that applies across all PU Prime entities.
- Complaints process: Regulated brokers must maintain a formal complaints and dispute resolution process.
Entity matters. The protections available under one PU Prime regulated entity are not identical to those under another. Your account is governed by the entity assigned to your country of residence. Confirm which entity that is, and what protections it carries, before depositing any funds.
Start with a Demo Account: What to Practise and When to Stop
A demo account gives you access to the live platform, real market prices, and real order execution mechanics—without using real money. It is not optional for beginners; it is the only responsible starting point.
PU Prime describes the account registration process at puprime.com/how-to-open-a-trading-account, which also covers demo account access. The Cent account minimum deposit is USD 20 and the Standard account minimum is USD 50, according to that page—verify current minimums there before depositing, as these figures are subject to change.
What to practise in demo:
- Executing entry and exit orders correctly, including at-market and limit orders
- Setting a stop-loss and take-profit on every single trade before it is placed—not after
- Calculating position size relative to your account balance (keep risk per trade to approximately 1–2% of balance)
- Calculating the overnight financing cost before opening any position you plan to hold overnight
- Reviewing your completed trade log: did you follow your rules, or did you override them?
The honest limitation of demo trading: Demo removes the psychological pressure of real financial loss. You will likely trade more calmly, hold losers longer than you should, and take more risk than you would with real money. Demo is for building mechanical competence—correct order execution, position sizing, stop-loss discipline—not for replicating the emotional experience of live trading. Acknowledge this limitation before concluding that demo results are predictive of live performance.
Demo-to-live transition checklist:
- Minimum 30 consecutive days of demo trading completed
- Every demo trade had a stop-loss defined before entry (no exceptions)
- No single demo trade risked more than 2% of account balance
- Trade log reviewed—net demo P&L is positive over the full review period
- Overnight financing cost was calculated before every multi-day position opened
- You have rehearsed a margin call scenario: what would you do, and how quickly?
- The money you plan to use for live trading is genuinely disposable—losing it entirely would not change your life situation
- Tax implications have been researched or professional advice sought
- You have tested the platform on mobile and are comfortable with it under time pressure
- A significant demo drawdown occurred at some point—you assessed your emotional response honestly
If you cannot tick every item, continue in demo. The checklist is not a formality—it exists to stop you moving to live before you are ready.
How to Evaluate Any CFD Broker Before Opening an Account
Use this checklist against any broker, including PU Prime:
- Regulatory licence number is visible on the broker's website and verifiable on the regulator's own public register
- The specific regulated entity and its protections for your jurisdiction are clearly identified
- Spreads and overnight financing rates are published transparently on the website—not just available on request
- Demo account is accessible before you commit capital
- Negative balance protection is stated explicitly for your specific entity and jurisdiction
- Client funds are confirmed to be held in segregated accounts
- Leverage limits applicable to your entity and account type are clearly stated
- Mobile app is available and you have explored it before depositing
- Educational resources are appropriate for your experience level
- Withdrawal process is documented clearly with stated processing times
- Customer support has been tested before you fund—response time and quality matter more than a support page existing
Unregulated brokers represent a genuine risk. There is no complaints process, no segregation of funds requirement, and no regulatory authority to contact if funds are withheld. The presence of a licence number on a broker's own website means little without independent verification on the regulator's public register.
Beginner Mistakes That Cost Real Money
1. Over-leveraging on the first trade. Maximum available leverage is not a recommendation. Beginners who open at the maximum leverage cap frequently lose their entire margin on the first adverse move. Start at the lowest leverage ratio that still meets your strategy's requirements.
Corrective action: Set your leverage conservatively for your first live trades—well below the maximum permitted by your entity—regardless of what is technically available.
2. Placing a trade without a stop-loss. A stop-loss is the single most important mechanical rule in CFD trading. Without it, a position can run to zero or beyond, particularly where NBP does not apply to your account.
Corrective action: Define your stop-loss level before entering. If you cannot identify a logical stop level, do not enter the trade.
3. Opening an overnight position without calculating the financing cost. A trade that is slightly profitable at end of day can become unprofitable after several nights of financing. This is especially true for commodity and index CFDs.
Corrective action: Calculate the nightly financing cost on your intended position size before entry, using the rates at puprime.com/spread-and-costs. If the position needs to move a certain amount just to cover the overnight fee, adjust your plan accordingly.
4. Averaging down on a losing position. Adding to a losing position to reduce your average entry price is one of the most reliable ways to convert a small loss into a large one.
Corrective action: If the market has moved against your analysis, either your analysis was wrong or your timing was wrong. Neither is resolved by adding more exposure.
5. Moving to live trading before demo is genuinely profitable. A few lucky winning trades in demo do not constitute readiness. Thirty days of consistent, rule-following demo performance does.
Corrective action: Complete the full demo-to-live checklist above. If you are not profitable over 30 days of disciplined demo trading, the problem will be larger with real money at stake.
6. Ignoring the retail loss rate. The disclosure that a significant proportion of retail CFD accounts lose money is not a regulatory technicality—it is a statement about actual outcomes for most participants. Read the current figure disclosed by your specific broker and entity, contextualise it, and use it to set realistic expectations.
Corrective action: Before live trading, ask yourself what you will do differently from the majority of retail traders who lose money. If you cannot answer specifically, continue demo.
Related: Forex vs CFD · Best indices brokers
Further reading: FCA guidance on CFDs and leveraged products · ESMA Investor Corner.
Next Steps: How to Start Learning Safely
The recommended path for a beginner is sequential, not rushed:
Start with a demo account. Practice opening, monitoring, and closing positions using virtual funds at real market prices. Focus on understanding how costs are applied, how leverage affects your position size, and how to place stop-loss orders. A demo environment removes financial risk from the learning process.
Master the mechanics before moving to live funds. Specifically: understand how to calculate your position size relative to your margin, how overnight financing accumulates, and what your stop-loss level means in cash terms before you open a live trade.
Choose a regulated broker. Verify the licence number against your national regulator's public register. Confirm negative balance protection applies to your account type. Read the fee schedule before depositing.
If and when you move to live trading, start small. The psychological experience of live trading differs from demo trading. Begin with position sizes where a total loss would not materially affect your finances.
Going Long and Going Short
One of CFDs' most cited features is the ability to profit from falling prices, not just rising ones.
- Going long (buying): You believe the price will rise. If it does, you profit from the difference. If it falls, you lose.
- Going short (selling): You believe the price will fall. If it does, you profit from the difference. If it rises, you lose.
Traditional stock investing is primarily long-only. You buy shares, hold them, and hope the price rises over time. Short-selling actual shares requires borrowing them through your broker — a process that is often restricted for retail investors and carries its own costs.
CFDs make short positions straightforward: you simply select "sell" when opening a position. This means CFD traders can attempt to capitalise on falling markets as readily as rising ones. However, this cuts both ways — a short position loses money when the price rises, with leverage amplifying that loss just as it would amplify a gain.
Five Forces That Move the Price
Natural gas does not move on one driver alone. The table below ranks the five most impactful forces by typical magnitude and how quickly each feeds into prices.
Price driver priority matrix
| Driver | Category | Typical price impact | Speed of effect | Directional context (mid-2026) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EIA storage vs 5-year average | Supply/Inventory | High | Same session (Thursdays) | Seasonal — significance peaks Oct–Mar |
| Winter/summer weather demand | Demand | High | 1–5 trading sessions | Seasonal — peaks Nov–Feb and Jul–Aug |
| LNG export volume | Supply | Medium–High | Days to weeks | Structurally rising (US capacity additions ongoing) |
| Hurricane / production disruption | Supply shock | High (tail risk) | Minutes to hours | Seasonal — Gulf of Mexico Jun–Nov |
| USD index movement | Macro | Low–Medium | Same session | Inverse correlation; commodity-wide |
| European supply security events | Geopolitical | Medium–High | Hours to days | Risk elevated since 2022; monitor for change |
Directional context column reflects general market background as of mid-2026. It describes structural or seasonal conditions, not price forecasts. Verify current conditions before trading.
1. Storage Inventories vs the Five-Year Average
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) publishes its Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report every Thursday at 10:30 a.m. Eastern Time. The report is subject to federal holiday schedule adjustments — check the EIA release calendar at eia.gov before each trading week to confirm the exact date and time of the upcoming release.
The number that matters is not the absolute storage level — it is the deviation from the five-year average. A storage surplus suggests supply is comfortable and typically pressures prices lower. A deficit, particularly heading into winter, signals potential tightness and supports higher prices. This single release is the most reliably price-moving scheduled event in the natural gas calendar.
2. LNG Export Demand and Terminal Flows
The United States became the world's largest LNG exporter, and US export terminal utilisation directly competes with domestic gas supply. When export terminals run at high capacity, more gas leaves the domestic market, tightening supply and supporting Henry Hub prices. Traders track daily LNG feed gas flows reported by pipeline data providers as a leading indicator.
3. Weather-Driven Demand Peaks
Extreme cold raises heating demand; extreme heat raises cooling demand (power plants burn gas to generate electricity for air conditioning). Both can draw down storage rapidly. In practice, weather is the hardest driver to forecast beyond a two-week window — which means price moves on weather revisions can be sharp and sudden.
4. Hurricane and Production Disruptions
Gulf of Mexico production accounts for a meaningful share of US gas output. A Category 3+ hurricane tracking through the Gulf can cause platforms to shut in production for days or weeks, creating an immediate supply shock. Markets begin pricing this risk during tropical storm formation, often before a landfall.
5. Geopolitical Supply Risk
European buyers learned in 2022 that infrastructure dependency creates price vulnerability when supply is disrupted. The TTF price spiked to multi-decade highs as Europe scrambled for LNG alternatives. While Henry Hub was less directly affected, the global LNG arbitrage market means European demand changes do feed back into US export volumes and, eventually, US prices. The degree to which this risk remains active or dormant changes over time; check current market commentary for the latest assessment before trading.
The Seasonal Cycle Every Natural Gas Trader Should Know
Natural gas consumption follows a repeating annual pattern, and the price often reflects that cycle weeks in advance.
Seasonal volatility calendar (historical tendency — not a guarantee of future behaviour)
| Quarter | Typical market phase | Historical volatility tendency | Key event to watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan–Mar | Peak withdrawal season | High — cold snaps can accelerate storage draws sharply | EIA weekly draws vs weather forecasts; polar vortex risk |
| Apr–Jun | Injection season begins | Low-to-moderate — market often consolidates as storage refills | Storage refill rate; LNG export pace; spring weather normalisation |
| Jul–Sep | Summer cooling demand + hurricane season | Moderate-to-high — heat waves and Gulf storms are wildcard events | Power-sector demand; tropical storm formation in the Gulf |
| Oct–Dec | Pre-winter positioning + early withdrawal | Rising — market prices in winter risk premium ahead of schedule | Early cold snaps; storage adequacy vs winter demand projections |
Historical tendency based on seasonal patterns in NYMEX front-month natural gas. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future price behaviour.
The injection season (roughly April–October) is when gas flows into underground storage to build the reserve for winter. The withdrawal season (November–March) drains that reserve. Prices tend to be most volatile when the trajectory of storage build or draw diverges unexpectedly from the five-year average — which is why the Thursday EIA report carries outsized weight during both transition periods.
What Moves the Copper Price
Copper price drivers operate across different time horizons. What matters for an intraday scalp is largely irrelevant to a three-month macro position, and vice versa. Understanding which horizon you are trading helps you filter relevant news from background noise.
Copper Price Driver Matrix
| Time Horizon | Driver | Example Event | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intraday | USD index movement | US CPI print stronger than expected → USD rises | Copper is USD-denominated; a stronger dollar makes copper more expensive in other currencies, typically suppressing demand |
| Intraday | LME warehouse inventory report | Cancelled warrants spike (metal leaving storage) | Signals tightening physical supply; tends to support spot price |
| Intraday | Risk sentiment / equity markets | Broad equity sell-off on recession concern | Copper trades as a risk asset; sell-offs often correlate with short-term copper weakness |
| Cyclical (6–12 months) | China manufacturing PMI | PMI falls below 50 for consecutive months | China accounts for roughly half of global copper consumption; a sustained PMI contraction signals reduced industrial demand |
| Cyclical (6–12 months) | Auto production cycles | Global auto output ramp-up ahead of model-year changeover | Each vehicle uses significant copper for wiring and motors; production surges lift copper demand |
| Cyclical (6–12 months) | Chinese construction seasons | Property developer credit conditions tighten | Construction-related copper demand (plumbing, wiring) tracks building starts with a 3–6 month lag |
| Structural (multi-year) | EV adoption | Major markets mandate EV sales share targets | EVs use roughly 3–4× the copper of an internal combustion engine vehicle; rising EV share expands the demand curve |
| Structural (multi-year) | Renewable energy buildout | Solar and wind farm installation targets | Power cables and transformers for grid connection are copper-intensive; IEA projections flag copper as a critical mineral for energy transition |
| Structural (multi-year) | Mine supply depletion and grade decline | Declining ore grades at major Chilean mines | New mine development takes 10–15 years; structural undersupply risk builds as existing reserves thin |
Supply Geography and Concentration Risk
Chile accounts for approximately 25–27% of global copper mine output (cross-reference USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries and COCHILCO data at the time you read this—the figure shifts annually). The DRC and Peru are the next largest producers. This geographic concentration creates event-driven risk: labour disputes at major Andean mines, water-use restrictions in Chile's northern desert, or sovereign policy changes can tighten global supply quickly. Documented historical episodes—including the Escondida mine strikes in 2017 and 2018—show that significant supply disruptions can push COMEX prices materially higher within days, as traders price in reduced near-term availability. The effect on open interest tends to be immediate; the effect on physical inventories takes weeks to months to show through. Short-term traders need to distinguish the price signal from the underlying fundamentals adjusting at a much slower pace.
How the COMEX Copper Contract Works
Contract Specification Reference
The table below summarises the standard COMEX HG copper contract. Margin figures change frequently based on market volatility; treat the indicative figure as a starting point only and verify current requirements at cmegroup.com before trading.
| Specification | Detail | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Contract symbol | HG (continuous front-month: HG1! on TradingView) | Verify symbol convention has not changed |
| Underlying | Grade 1 electrolytic copper | Minimum 99.9% purity, COMEX-approved brands |
| Contract size | 25,000 lbs | Note: LME copper uses metric tonnes—different unit |
| Price quotation | USD per pound | e.g. $4.50/lb = $112,500 notional per contract |
| Minimum tick | $0.0005 per pound | Each tick = $12.50 per contract |
| Tick value | $12.50 | Five ticks = $62.50; 100 ticks = $1,250 |
| Trading hours (Globex) | Nearly 24 hours/day, Sunday–Friday, with a daily maintenance break (~45 min) | Check CME Globex calendar for exact session times |
| Last trading day | Third-to-last business day of the contract month | Check CME contract calendar for specific dates |
| Settlement method | Physical delivery to COMEX-licensed warehouses, or cash if position is closed before expiry | Most retail traders roll or close before delivery |
| Exchange | COMEX division, CME Group, New York | |
| Initial margin (indicative) | Typically several thousand USD per contract; varies by exchange rule changes | Always verify at cmegroup.com before trading—margin rates change frequently |
Expiry and Rolling
Most retail traders never intend to accept physical delivery of 25,000 lbs of copper wire bar. Before the contract's last trading day, they either close the position outright or roll it—closing the expiring contract and opening the next month's contract simultaneously. Rolling incurs a small cost because the two contract months rarely trade at exactly the same price. That price difference (the spread between front and back months) reflects storage, insurance, and financing costs; it can be positive or negative depending on market structure.
A Simple Worked Example: Spot vs Forward Price
Numbers make this easier to follow than definitions alone. This example uses round figures for a hypothetical commodity — not a live market quote, and not representative of any specific instrument's actual pricing.
| Point in time | Price | Difference vs spot | Plain-language takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spot price (today) | $80.00 | — | What you'd pay for immediate delivery |
| 3-month futures price | $83.00 | +$3.00 (contango) | The market is pricing in roughly 3.75% for carrying the asset three months forward |
| 3-month futures price (alternative scenario) | $77.50 | −$2.50 (backwardation) | The market is pricing a discount for later delivery, often because near-term supply is tight |
In the contango row, the $3.00 gap is a rough stand-in for storage, insurance, and financing costs over that three-month window. In the backwardation row, the discount suggests buyers value having the commodity now more than they value it in three months.
If you held a long position through to expiry in the contango scenario, and the spot price stayed flat at $80, the futures price would need to fall back toward $80 as expiry approaches — this is called convergence. That erosion, from $83 down to $80, is a cost that has nothing to do with whether your market view was right. It's often referred to as roll cost when a position is repeatedly closed and reopened in a new contract to avoid taking delivery, and it can quietly erode returns on long-held positions even when the underlying price forecast was correct.
Note: convergence is the general tendency, not a guarantee. In practice, basis risk — the difference between the futures price and spot price — can persist or widen in certain conditions, particularly around cash-settled contracts or markets with unusual supply dynamics.
Why Futures Prices Drift From Spot: The Carrying-Cost Logic
For a physical commodity, holding it between today and a future delivery date isn't free. Three costs typically get built into the futures price:
- Storage: warehousing oil, grain, or metal costs money and space.
- Insurance: physical stock needs to be insured against loss or damage.
- Financing: money tied up in the commodity has an opportunity cost, roughly in line with prevailing interest rates.
Add these "cost of carry" components to today's spot price, and you get a rough explanation for why a futures contract might trade higher. This is contango's default state for many storable commodities in calm markets: nothing dramatic is happening, so the price simply reflects spot plus the cost of waiting.
Backwardation flips this logic. It tends to show up when near-term supply is tight or demand is unusually strong right now — tight enough that buyers are willing to pay more for immediate delivery than for delivery further out. A supply disruption, a seasonal shortage, or a sudden spike in demand can all push a market into backwardation, because the premium for having the physical good today outweighs the cost-of-carry logic that would normally push the curve upward. This premium for immediate availability is sometimes called convenience yield, and when it's high enough, it overrides carrying costs and flips the curve into backwardation.
Neither state is permanent. Curves shift as storage capacity, interest rates, and supply-demand conditions change.
Other ways to get exposure to commodities
CFDs are not the only route into commodity markets, and it is worth knowing the market even if you end up using only one of them. The table below is general market education — availability, cost structures, tax treatment and eligibility depend heavily on your broker and your country of residence. It does not represent the specific product range of any one broker; confirm what is actually available to you before trading.
| Instrument | Leverage | Typical cost structure | Generally suited to |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFD | Usually available; exact limits vary by regulator and account type | Spread and/or commission, plus overnight financing on held positions | Traders wanting flexible position sizing and short- to medium-term exposure without owning the underlying asset |
| ETF | Typically none when bought outright; limited if margin-traded | Fund management fee, brokerage commission | Investors seeking simpler, longer-term exposure without daily monitoring |
| Futures | Built into the standardized contract | Exchange fees, contract expiry and rollover considerations | Experienced traders comfortable with fixed contract sizes and expiry mechanics |
| Stocks of commodity producers | None unless traded as a CFD | Brokerage commission | Investors wanting indirect exposure via company performance rather than the raw commodity price |
| Spread bets | Usually available where offered | Built into the spread; tax treatment varies by jurisdiction | Traders in jurisdictions where this product is regulated — it is not globally available (notably offered in the UK) |
Check any broker's own product pages for exactly which instruments and markets it lists before assuming availability.
Common mistakes beginners make
Over-leveraging. Using maximum available leverage on every trade multiplies outcomes in both directions. Sizing positions using a fixed risk percentage, as shown above, keeps any single trade from doing disproportionate damage to the account.
Ignoring overnight financing costs. Holding a leveraged position past the end of the trading day typically incurs a swap charge. On positions held for days or weeks, these charges accumulate. Check the swap rate for your specific instrument before deciding to hold overnight, not after you have already held it.
Trading illiquid hours. Spreads widen and price gaps become more likely outside a market's primary trading session. Entering just before an illiquid period can mean a worse fill and a wider effective cost than expected.
Trading without a stop-loss. Skipping a stop-loss on the assumption the price will recover removes the one mechanism that defines your maximum loss in advance. It is among the most avoidable mistakes on this list.
Confusing hedging with speculation. A stated intention of "protecting against inflation" and a short-term directional bet are different strategies with different position-sizing and time-horizon requirements. Clarify which one you are actually doing before you open the trade, because the sizing logic differs.
What Is CFD Trading? How It: Your Questions Answered
What is the minimum deposit to open a PU Prime account?
ccording to puprime.com/how-to-open-a-trading-account, the Cent account starts at USD 20 and the Standard account starts at USD 50. Minimums for other account types, and whether these figures remain current, should be verified directly on that page before depositing.
Can I lose more than I deposit?
This depends on the entity your account is opened under. Where negative balance protection is in force for retail clients, your losses are capped at your deposited funds. Where it is not in force, losses can exceed your deposit during rapid or gapping market moves. Check your specific entity's terms at puprime.com/regulation.
Is CFD trading available in the United States?
No. CFDs are not available to retail traders in the United States under current CFTC and SEC regulatory rules. If you are a US resident, trading CFDs through an offshore broker does not make this permissible.
Are CFD profits taxed?
Tax treatment for CFD gains and losses varies significantly by jurisdiction and individual circumstances. Some jurisdictions treat them as capital gains; others as income; some apply specific rules for leveraged derivative products. This article cannot and does not provide tax advice. Seek guidance from a qualified tax professional in your jurisdiction before trading.
How do I close a CFD position?
You close by placing the opposite trade to the one that opened the position. If you opened by buying (long), you close by selling the same instrument in the same size. The platform calculates your net profit or loss automatically. Both MetaTrader 4 and MetaTrader 5 allow you to manage and close positions from the open positions panel.
What happens if PU Prime became insolvent?
Regulated brokers are required to hold client funds in segregated accounts—separate from the company's own operational funds. PU Prime confirms this arrangement at puprime.com/regulation. The extent of protection and any compensation scheme coverage depends on the regulated entity and jurisdiction. Verify the specific terms for the entity governing your account.
How do I get started?
The recommended path for any beginner is: (1) understand the mechanics and costs described in this article; (2) open a demo account and complete at least 30 days of consistent practice; (3) complete the demo-to-live checklist above; (4) open a live account only when you have met every item on that checklist. You can begin step two without committing capital.
Is CFD trading just gambling?
CFDs share structural features with speculative instruments—directional positions, leverage, short time horizons. The distinction from gambling lies in the capacity to apply systematic analysis, defined position sizing, and risk management rules. However, for under-capitalised traders operating without rules or risk controls, the outcomes can be functionally similar to gambling. The product is high-risk; the suitability criteria in this article exist for a reason.
CFD Account Types at HFM
For comparison, HFM's Premium and Cent accounts carry CFD spreads from 1.4 pips on forex; the Zero account carries spreads from 0 pips with commissions applied instead; the Pro account carries spreads from 0.6 pips; and the InfinityX account carries spreads from 0.3 pips. For most HFM account types, the margin call level is set at 50% of required margin — except InfinityX, which uses a 20% margin call level, a detail worth understanding fully before choosing that account type given the mechanics of margin calls explained above.
Compare HFM account types and open a live account to see which spread/commission structure fits your CFD trading approach.
Risks to Weigh Before Using What Is CFD Trading? How It
Leverage means that losses can exceed your initial deposit unless negative balance protection applies to your specific account entity and jurisdiction. Negative balance protection is not universal—verify which protections apply to your account at puprime.com/regulation.
The proportion of retail investor accounts that lose money when trading CFDs is material. The current figure applicable to PU Prime's regulated entities is disclosed in their official risk documentation at puprime.com/regulation. Review this before opening an account.
Past performance of any market, instrument, or strategy is not indicative of future results. CFDs are not suitable for all investors.
CFDs are not available to retail traders in the United States. Availability and regulatory protections vary by jurisdiction.
Spread figures, account minimums, leverage limits, and regulatory details are subject to change. Verify all current figures directly at puprime.com/spread-and-costs, puprime.com/regulation, and puprime.com/how-to-open-a-trading-account before making any trading decisions.
Related Guides
Sources & verification
- Last checked
- Written by
- HNL Growth Team
- Reviewed by
- Hà Ngọc Lộc
- Length
- 31 min read · 7,126 words
Rules, prices and payout terms on this page were checked against the official websites, help-centre articles and published terms of the firms mentioned, on the date above. Prop firms and brokers change conditions often — confirm the current version on the official site before you buy or deposit. Read our broker review methodology and affiliate disclosure.
Official sources & documentation verified
- FCA guidance on CFDs and leveraged products(fca.org.uk · Official Regulator)
- ESMA Investor Corner(esma.europa.eu · Official Regulator)
- cmegroup.com(cmegroup.com)
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Ready to Compare PU Prime Account Types?
PU Prime is a multi-entity broker — ASIC (Australia) and FSCA (South Africa) regulated entities offer stronger oversight, while most international clients are onboarded to the FSA Seychelles or FSC Mauritius entities. Four account tiers (Cent, Standard, Prime, ECN) range from a $20 minimum deposit to full ECN pricing.
Risk disclaimer: PU Prime is a live, regulated multi-entity broker — trading forex and CFDs is done with real capital under normal market risk (this is not a simulated prop-firm evaluation). PU Prime operates under multiple separate licenses (ASIC, FSCA, FSA Seychelles, FSC Mauritius); which entity holds your account depends on your country of residence and determines your leverage cap and protections — confirm this before funding. CFDs and leveraged forex products are complex instruments and carry a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage; 62.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs/forex work and whether you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Affiliate disclosure: HNL Growth earns a commission when you open a PU Prime account through links on this page.